随着一个大异常，哪个Duana将于后来发布，今天早上的奥斯卡提名几乎完全可以接受。2018年为电影是一个伟大的一年，所以肯定你的一个最喜欢的人没有得到提名。八年级例如，关闭了。和你不是我的邻居吗？和Three Identical Strangersdidn’t get nominated in the Best Documentary category (although I heard some compelling arguments againstStrangers和its structure from documentarians so I’m not terribly surprised by that one). And they left two open spots on the Best Picture possible-field-of-ten which DEFINITELY should have been filled this year. But on the other hand, Spike Lee scored his first Best Picture nomination withBlacKkKlansman。和黑豹历史历史（更稍后更多）。和罗马和最受欢迎led the way with ten nominations apiece, and both of those movies only feature men in supporting roles, so this is maybe the first time the Oscar leaders are women’s narratives. Overall, this is not as enraging an Oscar year as times past. Let’s break it down.
首先，这是netflix破坏了一年。罗马has ten nominations, including Best Picture, tying最受欢迎一年中的大部分时间。Alfonso Cuaron落在了四个提名的提名（制作人，作家，电影院），让他融入了沃伦·烈性，Coen Brothers和Alan Menken为一部电影的最多提名的个人。和罗马also landed both actress nominations, with breakthrough performer Yalitza Aparicio getting a Best Actress nomination and Marina de Tavira scoring in Best Supporting Actress. That both women got nominated tells me a lot of Academy members actually watched罗马，因为Netflix没有推动De Tavira，因为他们是Aparicio。她对奥斯卡竞选活动并不突出或普遍，所以你实际上不得不看罗马to see how great she is, and how both performances feed off each other.
显然，学院没有较长的netflix偏见。The Ballad of Buster Scruggs得分三个惊喜提名，所以罗马is not a one-off, and Netflix racked up thirteen total nominations, including their first Best Picture nod. The Academy went in on Netflix this year. It turns out, all they needed to do was hand carte blanche to prestige filmmakers, and suddenly they’re in the big club. And though Netflix did put both movies in theaters—in a very limited, four-walled way—I wonder if the convenience of their release platform actually worked in their favor this time. Both movies were available at home over the holidays. Academy members did not have to get dressed up for a special event or stand in line for an Academy screening to see these movies. They could just watch them at home. And I wonder if the comparative ease of that is ultimately what put these movies in front of so many eyeballs. Also, with SO many creatives booking Netflix deals these days, you have to imagine the actors, directors, and increasingly producers, don’t really care about streaming bias. Netflix is paying them in a way studios rarely do anymore.
It should be noted that Marina de Tavira’s nomination means Claire Foy did not get in for第一个人。The fifth spot in Supporting Actress was open (after you figure Amy Adams, Emma Stone, Rachel Weisz, and Regina King as locks), and it looked to be Foy’s, but that nomination did not materialize. As much as I like Claire Foy, I will not call this a “snub” because one, the competition was STACKED so inevitably SOMEONE wasn’t getting in, and two, I’m not bothered if the Academy is finally over its Stressed Wife obsession. Claire Foy is great, but her role in第一个人is so representative of what women had to settle for when roles weren’t as rich as those in罗马,最受欢迎,Vice， 而如果Beal Street可以说话。她的角色的局限性无法忍受那些其他部分的扩张性，越来越多第一个人will be dinged forever for stranding such a talented actress in such a small, conventional part (Damien Chazelle can’t write women well, perhaps he should consider collaborating with more women).
But第一个人确实潜入了四个提名（声音类别，生产设计和VFX）。我期待它competein the craft categories despite losing momentum as an overall leading contender, though I am surprised it didn’t get a score nomination. Justin Hurwitz just won a couple Oscars forLa La Land, so perhaps the Academy thought he’s had his moment, but the第一个人score is a real standout. That’s a little bit of a headscratcher, but indicative of the overall competition this year.
奥斯卡比赛很广泛。一颗星星诞生了didn’t get as much love as expected,Green Bookis in contention but Peter Farrelly didn’t get a directing nomination, while Spike Lee did AND got his first Best Picture nomination. The 2018 Oscars can do what the 1989 Oscars didn’t and recognize Spike Lee as one of the best American filmmakers working today. It would be nice to think that bothGreen Book和波西米亚狂想曲不再是我们的有问题的最爱，但现实是，尽管他们被超越了最受欢迎和罗马总共提名,他们生命l in it. It feels less sure, now, for both of them, but they still have good odds. They both have their fans, though I wish the Academy would keep in mind that rewarding波西米亚狂想曲is rewarding Bryan Singer. He won’t be at the ceremony and no one will thank him, but his name is still attached to the film. He still benefits.
But I refuse to give any more bandwidth to that mediocrity. This is the year we could get #JusticeForSpike, the year a weird lady-led historical drama about gossip could win big, the year we’re almost guaranteed another magnificent Regina King speech, the Year Of黑豹, the year the Academy finally embraced the future of film. A few months ago, we thought一颗星星诞生了是保证的frontrunner。今天早上，这是任何人的比赛。